AFL · ROUND 10 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Geelong Cats
Thu 14 May 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
BRI by 7
BRI to win, 60% chance
BRI 60%40% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 41
MISS Actual margin 41 · 47.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 29.5 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.5 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 26.3 / - | -0.0 / - | 7.2 / - | 2.0 / - | 101 / - |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 91 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Hugh McCluggage | WL | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Zac Bailey | HFFR | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | CHB | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Levi Ashcroft | WR | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Keidean Coleman | BPL | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Bruce Reville | INT | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Sam Marshall | INT | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Kai Lohmann | INT | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Darcy Gardiner | INT | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Logan Morris | FPR | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Cody Curtin | CHF | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 31.0 / inside our 50% range: 34.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 112 / outside our 90% range: 157 |
| Max Holmes | RR | 29.6 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 108 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Gryan Miers | INT | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 96 / outside our 90% range: 54 |
| Tanner Bruhn | WL | 22.1 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Tom Stewart | BPR | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Tom Atkins | INT | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Zach Guthrie | CHB | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WR | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Lawson Humphries | HBFL | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 15.8 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 129 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Mark O'Connor | BPL | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Mark Blicavs | INT | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Jeremy Cameron | HFFL | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Sam De Koning | INT | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Jack Henry | HBFR | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 57 |