AFL · ROUND 10 · MARVEL STADIUM
Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Sat 16 May 2026, 7:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
WB by 12
WB to win, 66% chance
CAR 34%66% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 12
MISS Actual margin 12 · 23.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 27.5 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| George Hewett | INT | 25.1 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Nic Newman | HBFL | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Adam Cerra | RR | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Oliver Florent | BPL | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 127 |
| Jagga Smith | INT | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Nick Haynes | BPR | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Zac Williams | WR | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Oliver Hollands | INT | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Matthew Carroll | WL | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Ben Ainsworth | FPR | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Lachlan Cowan | INT | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Will Hayward | HFFL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Francis Evans | INT | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Jacob Weitering | FB | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Harry McKay | FF | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Billy Wilson | HBFR | 11.0 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Jack Ison | HFFR | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Brodie Kemp | FPL | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Mitch McGovern | CHF | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Harry Dean | CHB | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 27.5 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 25.8 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 95 / outside our 90% range: 53 |
| Ed Richards | R | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 25.0 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 24.0 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 19.8 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| Joel Freijah | FPL | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Lachlan Bramble | WL | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Oskar Baker | INT | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Nick Coffield | INT | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Sam Davidson | INT | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jedd Busslinger | BPL | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Rory Lobb | CHB | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Cooper Hynes | INT | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Lachlan McNeil | INT | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Louis Emmett | RK | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Will Lewis | CHF | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 48 |