AFL · ROUND 10 · TIO STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Port Adelaide
Fri 15 May 2026, 7:40pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GCS by 23
GCS to win, 79% chance
GCS 79%21% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 25
HIT Actual margin 25 · 2.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 28.7 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 118 |
| Matt Rowell | CHF | 27.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Christian Petracca | C | 26.3 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| John Noble | INT | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Touk Miller | WR | 25.2 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Bodhi Uwland | HBFL | 21.7 / outside our 90% range: 31.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Wil Powell | CHB | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Mac Andrew | BPR | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 17.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 10 |
| Bailey Humphrey | R | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Zeke Uwland | INT | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Will Graham | HFFL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 12.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Nick Holman | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Oscar Adams | BPL | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Jamarra Ugle-Hagan | FPL | 10.8 / - | 1.8 / - | 3.9 / - | 1.4 / - | 59 / - |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Ben King | FF | 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jed Walter | HFFR | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 30.2 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Willem Drew | R | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 19.2 / outside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 18.0 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Logan Evans | BPL | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Will Lorenz | INT | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Lachie Jones | BPR | 11.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Tom Anastasopoulos | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 8.5 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 14 |