AFL · ROUND 10 · MARVEL STADIUM
St Kilda v Richmond
Sun 17 May 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
STK by 36
STK to win, 89% chance
STK 89%11% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 36
HIT Actual margin 36 · 0.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Sinclair | R | 27.9 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 115 |
| Sam Flanders | RR | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Jack Macrae | INT | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 125 |
| Marcus Windhager | WL | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Bradley Hill | CHB | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 44 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Hugo Garcia | HFFL | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 112 |
| Darcy Wilson | WR | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Rowan Marshall | INT | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Max Hall | C | 17.8 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 114 |
| Ryan Byrnes | FPL | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Liam Henry | INT | 16.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| Jack Carroll | HBFL | 15.0 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 101 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | CHF | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Mason Wood | INT | 14.5 / - | 0.8 / - | 5.3 / - | 2.0 / - | 70 / - |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Dougal Howard | FPR | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Angus Hastie | INT | 11.4 / - | -0.0 / - | 3.4 / - | 1.6 / - | 50 / - |
| Mitch Owens | INT | 11.4 / - | 1.5 / - | 3.6 / - | 1.8 / - | 62 / - |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Charlie Banfield | INT | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFR | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Liam O'Connell | HBFR | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hopper | INT | 25.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Jack Ross | RR | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Jayden Short | CHB | 24.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Tim Taranto | C | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Sam Grlj | HBFR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Luke Trainor | INT | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Sam Cumming | R | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Tyler Sonsie | HFFL | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| James Trezise | WR | 14.2 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 108 |
| Seth Campbell | CHF | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Kaleb Smith | INT | 13.3 / - | -0.0 / - | 4.0 / - | 1.6 / - | 55 / - |
| Noah Balta | RK | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 121 |
| Noah Roberts-Thomson | INT | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Tom Burton | INT | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Tom Lynch | FF | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Oliver Hayes-Brown | INT | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Campbell Gray | BPR | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Samson Ryan | INT | 8.3 / - | 0.0 / - | 2.2 / - | 1.7 / - | 58 / - |
| Jonty Faull | FPL | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Mykelti Lefau | INT | 7.9 / - | 1.0 / - | 3.6 / - | 1.9 / - | 47 / - |
| Liam Fawcett | FPR | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 30 |