HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 10SYD v COL
AFL · ROUND 10 · SCG

Sydney Swans v Collingwood

Fri 15 May 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

SYD by 21

SYD to win, 77% chance

SYD 77%23% COL
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 6

HIT Actual margin 6 · 15.1 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Isaac Heeney RR 25.1 / inside our 90% range: 32.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.098 / inside our 50% range: 98
Justin McInerney R 24.2 / inside our 90% range: 31.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.05.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.090 / inside our 90% range: 110
Nick Blakey CHB 22.6 / outside our 90% range: 39.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.05.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.084 / outside our 90% range: 146
Callum Mills HBFR 22.1 / inside our 50% range: 22.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.084 / inside our 50% range: 82
Chad Warner C 21.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.086 / inside our 50% range: 83
Brodie Grundy RK 19.5 / outside our 90% range: 34.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0106 / outside our 90% range: 161
Riley Bice INT 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.076 / inside our 50% range: 66
Angus Sheldrick INT 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.069 / inside our 50% range: 65
Jai Serong WL 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0-0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.04.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.065 / inside our 90% range: 79
Tom McCartin FB 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.066 / inside our 90% range: 91
Sam Wicks HBFL 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 21.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.062 / inside our 90% range: 90
James Rowbottom WR 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.06.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.079 / inside our 90% range: 61
Jake Lloyd HFFR 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.070 / inside our 90% range: 44
Tom Papley FPR 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.01.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.070 / inside our 90% range: 42
James Jordon CHF 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.064 / inside our 50% range: 51
Harry Cunningham INT 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.053 / inside our 50% range: 46
Charlie Curnow FF 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.05.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.068 / outside our 90% range: 27
Billy Cootee INT 11.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.054 / inside our 50% range: 43
Malcolm Rosas HFFL 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.01.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.056 / inside our 50% range: 56
William Edwards BPL 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.043 / inside our 50% range: 53
Joel Amartey FPL 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.056 / inside our 90% range: 32
Lewis Melican BPR 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.038 / inside our 90% range: 60
Logan McDonald INT 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.052 / inside our 50% range: 42

Collingwood

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Nick Daicos R 32.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0108 / inside our 50% range: 102
Josh Daicos CHB 27.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.098 / inside our 90% range: 80
Dan Houston INT 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.086 / inside our 90% range: 69
Jack Crisp RR 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.5 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.086 / inside our 50% range: 78
Brayden Maynard BPR 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.079 / inside our 50% range: 86
Ned Long INT 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.06.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.075 / inside our 50% range: 78
Steele Sidebottom C 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.066 / inside our 50% range: 65
Isaac Quaynor HBFL 16.6 / inside our 90% range: 22.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.067 / inside our 90% range: 88
Jordan De Goey HFFL 15.5 / outside our 90% range: 29.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.063 / inside our 90% range: 86
Angus Anderson INT 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.065 / inside our 50% range: 66
Beau McCreery CHF 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.065 / inside our 90% range: 45
Jeremy Howe FB 14.7 / outside our 90% range: 24.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.058 / inside our 90% range: 88
Lachie Schultz HFFR 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.072 / inside our 90% range: 53
Edward Allan WR 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.055 / inside our 50% range: 59
Roan Steele WL 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.056 / inside our 90% range: 71
Wil Parker HBFR 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.053 / inside our 90% range: 37
Billy Frampton BPL 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.048 / inside our 50% range: 38
Jamie Elliott FF 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.060 / inside our 50% range: 58
Charlie West INT 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.045 / inside our 50% range: 37
Oscar Steene RK 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.059 / inside our 90% range: 37
William Hayes INT 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.044 / inside our 50% range: 38
Daniel McStay FPR 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.053 / inside our 90% range: 69
Jack Buller FPL 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.045 / inside our 90% range: 24