AFL · ROUND 10 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v GWS GIANTS
Sun 17 May 2026, 4:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 35
GWS to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 17
MISS Actual margin 17 · 51.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 23.9 | 20.1 to 27.6 | 14.6 to 33.2 | 94% | 75% | 42% | 14% | 3% | outside our 90% range: 34.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 23.3 | 19.6 to 27.0 | 14.1 to 32.5 | 93% | 72% | 38% | 12% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 24.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 22.4 | 18.7 to 26.0 | 13.3 to 31.4 | 91% | 66% | 32% | 8% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 20.5 | 17.0 to 23.9 | 11.8 to 29.1 | 85% | 54% | 20% | 4% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 20.0 | 16.5 to 23.4 | 11.4 to 28.5 | 83% | 50% | 17% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Ryan Maric | HFFR | 19.8 | 16.4 to 23.2 | 11.3 to 28.3 | 82% | 48% | 16% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 18.4 | 15.1 to 21.7 | 10.2 to 26.6 | 75% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 19.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 18.1 | 14.9 to 21.4 | 10.0 to 26.3 | 74% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 19.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 18.0 | 14.8 to 21.3 | 9.9 to 26.2 | 73% | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 15.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 17.0 | 13.8 to 20.2 | 9.1 to 24.9 | 66% | 27% | 5% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 16.6 | 13.4 to 19.7 | 8.7 to 24.4 | 63% | 24% | 4% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 15.0 | 12.0 to 18.0 | 7.6 to 22.5 | 50% | 14% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 14.3 | 11.3 to 17.2 | 7.0 to 21.6 | 44% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 14.1 | 11.2 to 17.0 | 6.8 to 21.3 | 42% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Jack Hutchinson | WR | 14.1 | 11.2 to 17.1 | 6.9 to 21.4 | 42% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 12.9 | 10.1 to 15.7 | 6.0 to 19.9 | 31% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 12.7 | 9.9 to 15.5 | 5.8 to 19.6 | 29% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 12.4 | 9.6 to 15.1 | 5.5 to 19.2 | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Matt Flynn | INT | 12.1 | 9.4 to 14.8 | 5.3 to 18.8 | 24% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | 11.8 | 9.1 to 14.4 | 5.1 to 18.4 | 21% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Tom Gross | INT | 11.6 | 9.0 to 14.3 | 5.0 to 18.2 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 11.1 | 8.5 to 13.7 | 4.6 to 17.6 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 10.9 | 8.3 to 13.4 | 4.5 to 17.3 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 9.3 | 6.9 to 11.7 | 3.3 to 15.3 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 9.1 | 6.8 to 11.5 | 3.2 to 15.0 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 8.8 | 6.5 to 11.2 | 3.0 to 14.6 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 30.1 | 25.9 to 34.2 | 19.6 to 40.5 | 99% | 94% | 79% | 50% | 22% | inside our 90% range: 38.0 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 29.9 | 25.8 to 34.1 | 19.6 to 40.3 | 99% | 94% | 78% | 50% | 21% | outside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFR | 29.5 | 25.3 to 33.6 | 19.1 to 39.8 | 99% | 93% | 76% | 47% | 19% | inside our 90% range: 21.0 |
| Lachie Ash | RR | 28.4 | 24.3 to 32.4 | 18.2 to 38.5 | 98% | 91% | 71% | 40% | 14% | inside our 90% range: 34.0 |
| Toby Greene | HFFR | 21.4 | 17.9 to 25.0 | 12.6 to 30.3 | 88% | 60% | 26% | 6% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 20.4 | 16.9 to 23.9 | 11.8 to 29.0 | 85% | 53% | 19% | 4% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 19.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 18.7 | 15.4 to 22.0 | 10.4 to 27.0 | 77% | 40% | 11% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25.0 |
| Ryan Angwin | INT | 18.0 | 14.7 to 21.3 | 9.8 to 26.1 | 73% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 15.0 |
| Brent Daniels | CHF | 17.3 | 14.1 to 20.5 | 9.3 to 25.3 | 68% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | WL | 17.3 | 14.1 to 20.5 | 9.3 to 25.3 | 68% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Joe Fonti | CHB | 16.7 | 13.5 to 19.8 | 8.8 to 24.5 | 64% | 24% | 4% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFL | 16.6 | 13.5 to 19.8 | 8.8 to 24.4 | 63% | 24% | 4% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20.0 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 14.6 | 11.7 to 17.6 | 7.2 to 22.0 | 47% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Phoenix Gothard | INT | 13.6 | 10.8 to 16.5 | 6.5 to 20.8 | 38% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.0 | 6.1 to 20.2 | 33% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 12.8 | 10.0 to 15.6 | 5.9 to 19.7 | 30% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 12.5 | 9.7 to 15.2 | 5.6 to 19.3 | 27% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.4 | 9.7 to 15.1 | 5.6 to 19.2 | 27% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 12.0 | 9.3 to 14.8 | 5.3 to 18.8 | 24% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFL | 11.8 | 9.2 to 14.5 | 5.2 to 18.5 | 22% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Aaron Cadman | FPL | 11.3 | 8.7 to 13.9 | 4.8 to 17.8 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Harrison Oliver | INT | 10.9 | 8.3 to 13.5 | 4.5 to 17.3 | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| James Leake | INT | 10.9 | 8.3 to 13.5 | 4.5 to 17.3 | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 9.9 | 7.4 to 12.3 | 3.8 to 16.0 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 8.8 | 6.5 to 11.2 | 3.0 to 14.6 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 7.3 | 5.2 to 9.5 | 2.0 to 12.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |