AFL · ROUND 10 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v GWS GIANTS
Sun 17 May 2026, 4:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 35
GWS to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 17
MISS Actual margin 17 · 51.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 87 | 72 to 102 | 50 to 124 | 77% | 62% | 44% | 28% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 86 | 71 to 101 | 49 to 123 | 76% | 61% | 43% | 27% | 14% | outside our 90% range: 136 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 82 | 68 to 97 | 46 to 119 | 71% | 54% | 37% | 21% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 82 | 68 to 97 | 46 to 119 | 71% | 55% | 37% | 22% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 81 | 66 to 96 | 45 to 117 | 69% | 52% | 34% | 20% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Ryan Maric | HFFR | 77 | 63 to 92 | 42 to 113 | 63% | 45% | 28% | 15% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 74 | 60 to 88 | 38 to 109 | 57% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Matt Flynn | INT | 74 | 60 to 88 | 39 to 109 | 57% | 39% | 23% | 11% | 5% | - |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 73 | 59 to 87 | 38 to 108 | 55% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 71 | 57 to 85 | 36 to 106 | 52% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 70 | 56 to 84 | 35 to 105 | 50% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 70 | 56 to 84 | 35 to 105 | 50% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 69 | 55 to 82 | 34 to 103 | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 141 |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 67 | 53 to 81 | 32 to 101 | 44% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 64 | 50 to 78 | 30 to 98 | 38% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 22 |
| Jack Hutchinson | WR | 62 | 48 to 75 | 28 to 95 | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 60 | 46 to 73 | 27 to 93 | 31% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 58 | 44 to 71 | 25 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 55 | 42 to 68 | 23 to 88 | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 53 | 40 to 66 | 21 to 86 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | 52 | 39 to 64 | 20 to 83 | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 51 | 39 to 64 | 20 to 83 | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 50 | 37 to 63 | 18 to 82 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Tom Gross | INT | 50 | 37 to 62 | 18 to 81 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 45 | 32 to 57 | 14 to 75 | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 45 | 32 to 57 | 14 to 75 | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFR | 106 | 90 to 122 | 67 to 146 | 94% | 86% | 75% | 60% | 44% | outside our 90% range: 59 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 100 | 84 to 115 | 61 to 138 | 90% | 80% | 66% | 49% | 33% | inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 98 | 82 to 113 | 59 to 136 | 88% | 78% | 63% | 46% | 30% | inside our 90% range: 116 |
| Lachie Ash | RR | 92 | 77 to 108 | 55 to 130 | 84% | 71% | 54% | 37% | 22% | inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Toby Greene | HFFR | 86 | 71 to 101 | 49 to 123 | 76% | 61% | 43% | 27% | 14% | outside our 90% range: 42 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 75 | 61 to 90 | 40 to 111 | 60% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Brent Daniels | CHF | 72 | 58 to 87 | 37 to 108 | 55% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 70 | 56 to 84 | 36 to 105 | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 70 | 56 to 84 | 35 to 105 | 50% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 66 | 52 to 80 | 32 to 100 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Joe Fonti | CHB | 65 | 51 to 79 | 31 to 99 | 41% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Ryan Angwin | INT | 65 | 51 to 79 | 31 to 99 | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Stephen Coniglio | WL | 65 | 51 to 79 | 31 to 99 | 40% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Harrison Oliver | INT | 64 | 50 to 77 | 30 to 98 | 38% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 64 | 51 to 78 | 30 to 98 | 39% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| James Leake | INT | 64 | 50 to 77 | 30 to 98 | 38% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Aaron Cadman | FPL | 63 | 50 to 77 | 29 to 97 | 37% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFL | 62 | 49 to 76 | 29 to 96 | 36% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 60 | 47 to 74 | 27 to 94 | 32% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Phoenix Gothard | INT | 56 | 43 to 69 | 23 to 88 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFL | 55 | 42 to 68 | 22 to 87 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 51 | 38 to 64 | 19 to 83 | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Callum Brown | INT | 50 | 37 to 62 | 18 to 81 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 50 | 37 to 62 | 18 to 81 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 43 | 31 to 55 | 12 to 73 | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 42 | 29 to 54 | 12 to 72 | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |