AFL · ROUND 10 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v GWS GIANTS
Sun 17 May 2026, 4:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 35
GWS to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 17
MISS Actual margin 17 · 51.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 2.2 | 1.4 to 3.0 | 0.1 to 4.3 | 79% | 56% | 31% | 12% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 1.1 | 0.5 to 1.6 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 52% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.0 | 0.5 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.4 | 50% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.2 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 38% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 0.6 | 0.2 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 30% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 0.6 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 28% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jack Hutchinson | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Brady Hough | BPR | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Matt Flynn | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ryan Maric | HFFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Gross | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Cadman | FPL | 2.4 | 1.5 to 3.2 | 0.2 to 4.6 | 81% | 59% | 35% | 15% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 1.7 | 1.0 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 70% | 42% | 17% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Toby Greene | HFFR | 1.5 | 0.9 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 67% | 36% | 13% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 1.4 | 0.7 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 62% | 30% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 1.2 | 0.6 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.8 | 57% | 24% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Brent Daniels | CHF | 1.0 | 0.5 to 1.6 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 50% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 0.9 | 0.4 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 47% | 14% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Phoenix Gothard | INT | 0.9 | 0.4 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 48% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFL | 0.9 | 0.4 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 47% | 14% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Harrison Oliver | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| James Leake | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | WL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Joe Fonti | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lachie Ash | RR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Ryan Angwin | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |