AFL · ROUND 10 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v GWS GIANTS
Sun 17 May 2026, 4:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 35
GWS to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 17
MISS Actual margin 17 · 51.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 6.5 | 4.5 to 8.5 | 2.0 to 11.0 | 81% | 71% | 58% | 44% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 6.4 | 4.4 to 8.4 | 2.0 to 10.9 | 80% | 69% | 56% | 42% | 29% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 6.2 | 4.3 to 8.2 | 1.8 to 10.6 | 79% | 67% | 53% | 39% | 26% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.7 | 1.6 to 10.0 | 75% | 62% | 47% | 33% | 20% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.6 | 1.5 to 10.0 | 74% | 61% | 46% | 32% | 20% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 5.4 | 3.6 to 7.2 | 1.3 to 9.4 | 70% | 56% | 40% | 26% | 15% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 4.8 | 3.1 to 6.5 | 0.9 to 8.7 | 63% | 47% | 31% | 18% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 4.8 | 3.1 to 6.5 | 0.9 to 8.7 | 63% | 47% | 31% | 18% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 4.7 | 3.0 to 6.5 | 0.9 to 8.6 | 62% | 46% | 30% | 18% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Ryan Maric | HFFR | 4.7 | 3.0 to 6.4 | 0.9 to 8.5 | 61% | 45% | 29% | 17% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.1 | 0.7 to 8.1 | 57% | 40% | 25% | 14% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Jack Hutchinson | WR | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.6 to 7.8 | 54% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.6 to 7.8 | 53% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 4.1 | 2.5 to 5.7 | 0.5 to 7.7 | 52% | 35% | 20% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.5 | 0.4 to 7.4 | 49% | 31% | 18% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 3.9 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.4 to 7.3 | 48% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.4 to 7.3 | 47% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | - |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.3 to 7.1 | 45% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 3.5 | 2.0 to 4.9 | 0.2 to 6.7 | 40% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.0 to 6.3 | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 27% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Gross | INT | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Matt Flynn | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 18% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 2.1 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Idun | BPR | 7.1 | 5.0 to 9.2 | 2.4 to 11.8 | 85% | 76% | 64% | 51% | 38% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 7.1 | 5.0 to 9.2 | 2.4 to 11.8 | 85% | 76% | 64% | 51% | 38% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFR | 7.0 | 4.9 to 9.1 | 2.4 to 11.7 | 85% | 75% | 63% | 50% | 37% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFL | 6.5 | 4.5 to 8.5 | 2.0 to 10.9 | 81% | 70% | 57% | 43% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Lachie Ash | RR | 6.4 | 4.4 to 8.3 | 1.9 to 10.8 | 80% | 68% | 55% | 41% | 28% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 6.0 | 4.1 to 7.9 | 1.7 to 10.3 | 77% | 64% | 50% | 36% | 23% | - |
| Aaron Cadman | FPL | 5.9 | 4.0 to 7.8 | 1.6 to 10.2 | 76% | 63% | 49% | 35% | 22% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Joe Fonti | CHB | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.7 | 1.6 to 10.0 | 75% | 62% | 47% | 33% | 21% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 5.7 | 3.8 to 7.5 | 1.5 to 9.8 | 74% | 60% | 45% | 31% | 19% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Toby Greene | HFFR | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.8 | 1.1 to 9.0 | 66% | 50% | 35% | 21% | 12% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 4.5 | 2.9 to 6.2 | 0.8 to 8.2 | 59% | 42% | 26% | 15% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 0.7 to 8.1 | 57% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.6 to 7.8 | 53% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.6 to 7.8 | 53% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Brent Daniels | CHF | 4.0 | 2.4 to 5.6 | 0.5 to 7.5 | 50% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 4% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | WL | 4.0 | 2.4 to 5.5 | 0.5 to 7.5 | 50% | 32% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFL | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.7 | 0.1 to 6.4 | 35% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.4 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 27% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 23% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Harrison Oliver | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| James Leake | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Ryan Angwin | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Phoenix Gothard | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |