AFL · ROUND 11 · MCG
Collingwood v West Coast Eagles
Sat 23 May 2026, 4:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 39
COL to win, 92% chance
COL 92%8% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 10
HIT Actual margin 10 · 28.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 31.0 / inside our 50% range: 34.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 115 / inside our 50% range: 126 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 26.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Scott Pendlebury | C | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Dan Houston | HBFR | 23.5 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 43 |
| Jack Crisp | RR | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPL | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WL | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Jordan De Goey | INT | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 112 |
| Ned Long | INT | 17.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFL | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WR | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 14.9 / outside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / outside our 90% range: 124 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Edward Allan | INT | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Roan Steele | INT | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Jamie Elliott | FF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Billy Frampton | INT | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Darcy Moore | BPR | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| William Hayes | CHF | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Charlie West | FPL | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Daniel McStay | FPR | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 24.2 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 23.4 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Ryan Maric | WR | 20.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 14.6 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 13.1 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Harvey Johnston | HFFR | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 9.6 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 51 |