AFL · ROUND 11 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v Brisbane Lions
Sun 24 May 2026, 12:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
BRI by 8
BRI to win, 63% chance
GWS 37%63% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 78
MISS Actual margin 78 · 86.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Callaghan | R | 30.1 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 119 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 29.7 / inside our 90% range: 37.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Lachie Whitfield | CHB | 28.2 / - | 0.0 / - | 6.5 / - | 2.0 / - | 104 / - |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 28.0 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Toby Greene | HFFL | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Brent Daniels | RR | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFL | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Phoenix Gothard | CHF | 13.2 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 130 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 13.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Conor Stone | WL | 13.0 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / outside our 90% range: 2 |
| Jake Stringer | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.2 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Toby Bedford | FPL | 12.2 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 58 / outside our 90% range: 105 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 11.9 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 9.8 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 30.5 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Hugh McCluggage | WL | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Keidean Coleman | BPL | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Bruce Reville | HBFR | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Sam Marshall | INT | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Darcy Gardiner | BPR | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Will McLachlan | INT | 10.8 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 44 |