AFL · ROUND 11 · MARVEL STADIUM
North Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 23 May 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GCS by 9
GCS to win, 64% chance
NM 36%64% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 6
MISS Actual margin 6 · 15.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 30.4 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 112 / inside our 50% range: 121 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | RR | 27.4 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Luke Parker | HBFR | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFL | 23.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 21.5 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | C | 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 115 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| George Wardlaw | INT | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Luke McDonald | INT | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Riley Hardeman | INT | 15.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Charlie Spargo | HFFR | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Charlie Comben | BPR | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jack Darling | INT | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Griffin Logue | FB | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Jacob Konstanty | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Wil Dawson | BPL | 8.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Zane Duursma | FPR | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 28.3 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.8 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Christian Petracca | C | 25.7 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Touk Miller | HFFR | 25.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| John Noble | WR | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Bodhi Uwland | HBFL | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Joel Jeffrey | WL | 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Mac Andrew | BPR | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Wil Powell | CHB | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Sam Clohesy | INT | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFL | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Zeke Uwland | INT | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Jarrod Witts | INT | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Leonardo Lombard | INT | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Nick Holman | INT | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Ben Long | FPR | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Oscar Adams | BPL | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | CHF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Ben King | FF | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jed Walter | FPL | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 51 |