AFL · ROUND 12 · TIO TRAEGER PARK
Melbourne v GWS GIANTS
Sun 31 May 2026, 2:45pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
MEL by 6
MEL to win, 59% chance
MEL 59%41% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 49
MISS Actual margin 49 · 54.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Steele | RR | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Jake Bowey | BPL | 23.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Tom Sparrow | WL | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Ed Langdon | CHF | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Trent Rivers | HBFR | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | HFFL | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Caleb Windsor | R | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | BPR | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Harvey Langford | C | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Kade Chandler | FPL | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Blake Howes | HBFL | 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Bailey Laurie | HFFR | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Daniel Turner | FB | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Harry Sharp | WR | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Andy Moniz-Wakefield | INT | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Bayley Fritsch | FPR | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Harrison Petty | CHB | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Latrelle Pickett | INT | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | FF | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Paddy Cross | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Matthew Jefferson | INT | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Brody Mihocek | INT | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 30.0 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 28.4 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFR | 28.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Lachie Ash | CHB | 28.1 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 131 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 19.8 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 122 |
| Toby Greene | FPL | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 17.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Brent Daniels | HFFL | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFL | 15.1 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Conor Stone | WL | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFR | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Toby Bedford | RR | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Jake Stringer | CHF | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Callum Brown | INT | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Leek Aleer | INT | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Max Gruzewski | FPR | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / outside our 90% range: 79 |