AFL · ROUND 12 · SCG
Sydney Swans v Richmond
Sat 30 May 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SYD by 58
SYD to win, 97% chance
SYD 97%3% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 114
HIT Actual margin 114 · 55.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 26.1 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 96 / outside our 90% range: 163 |
| Justin McInerney | R | 25.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 92 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Chad Warner | CHF | 22.2 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Riley Bice | HBFR | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 17.6 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 113 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 17.0 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Jake Lloyd | HFFL | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| James Rowbottom | C | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| James Jordon | WR | 14.8 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Harry Cunningham | HFFR | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Caiden Cleary | INT | 11.1 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Harry Kyle | HBFL | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| William Edwards | BPR | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 10.0 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 130 |
| Lewis Melican | BPL | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Tom Hanily | INT | 10.0 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Peter Ladhams | RK | 9.8 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Hayden McLean | INT | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Logan McDonald | FPR | 9.0 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Ross | RR | 25.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Jacob Hopper | INT | 25.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Jayden Short | CHB | 25.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Dion Prestia | INT | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Tim Taranto | C | 23.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Sam Banks | WR | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Seth Campbell | CHF | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Tyler Sonsie | INT | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| James Trezise | INT | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Sam Grlj | HBFR | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.9 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Luke Trainor | BPR | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sam Cumming | R | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Noah Balta | RK | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Noah Roberts-Thomson | HFFL | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Oliver Hayes-Brown | INT | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FF | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Jasper Alger | FPR | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Liam Fawcett | FPL | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 32 |