AFL · ROUND 12 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Essendon
Sun 31 May 2026, 5:20pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
WCE by 3
WCE to win, 54% chance
WCE 54%46% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 30
HIT Actual margin 30 · 27.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 19.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 109 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 13.3 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 12.3 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Harvey Johnston | HFFR | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 10.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archie Roberts | HBFL | 28.4 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Zach Merrett | RR | 28.0 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Darcy Parish | C | 26.7 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Will Setterfield | INT | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Jacob Farrow | HBFR | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Sullivan Robey | HFFR | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Xavier Duursma | WL | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Elijah Tsatas | INT | 15.6 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Jaxon Prior | BPR | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Saad El-Hawli | INT | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Kyle Langford | FF | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Archie Perkins | R | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Zach Reid | FB | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jade Gresham | INT | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Archer Day-Wicks | WR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Nick Bryan | FPR | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Nik Cox | HFFL | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Thomas Edwards | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Ben McKay | CHB | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Nate Caddy | CHF | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Max Kondogiannis | BPL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Lachlan Blakiston | RK | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Archer May | FPL | 8.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / outside our 90% range: 0 |