AFL · ROUND 12 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v Collingwood
Sat 30 May 2026, 7:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 2
COL to win, 53% chance
WB 47%53% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 4
MISS Actual margin 4 · 6.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 28.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 25.4 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Ed Richards | R | 25.0 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Adam Treloar | INT | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 108 |
| Joel Freijah | WL | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Tim English | INT | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Lachie Jaques | WR | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPR | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Nick Coffield | BPL | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Rory Lobb | RK | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Cooper Hynes | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Lachlan McNeil | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Will Lewis | FPL | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Jordan Croft | CHF | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 30.3 / inside our 90% range: 37.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 26.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Scott Pendlebury | RR | 25.5 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 23.8 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Dan Houston | INT | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Jordan De Goey | FPR | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 127 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPL | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WL | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFR | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Ned Long | INT | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Steele Sidebottom | C | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Roan Steele | INT | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Angus Anderson | INT | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Edward Allan | WR | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Billy Frampton | BPR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Harvey Harrison | CHF | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Wil Parker | HBFL | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Daniel McStay | FPL | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Tim Membrey | FF | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 72 |