AFL · ROUND 13 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats
Thu 4 Jun 2026, 7:00pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GEE by 15
GEE to win, 72% chance
ADE 28%72% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 1
MISS Actual margin 1 · 16.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dawson | C | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 131 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Sam Berry | INT | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| James Peatling | RR | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Jake Soligo | R | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPL | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Ben Keays | FPR | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Callum Ah Chee | HFFL | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Daniel Curtin | WL | 11.8 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 95 |
| Taylor Walker | CHF | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| James Borlase | FB | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FF | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 9.3 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 69 / outside our 90% range: 128 |
| Jordon Butts | CHB | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 32.2 / inside our 50% range: 34.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 112 / inside our 50% range: 108 |
| Max Holmes | RR | 29.7 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Gryan Miers | INT | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Tanner Bruhn | WL | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Tom Stewart | FB | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Oliver Dempsey | HFFR | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Zach Guthrie | CHB | 18.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Jack Bowes | INT | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Tom Atkins | R | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Oisin Mullin | INT | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jeremy Cameron | HFFL | 15.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 7.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 81 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Mark O'Connor | WR | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 13.9 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 102 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | BPL | 13.3 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Sam De Koning | HBFR | 13.1 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 90 |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Mark Blicavs | RK | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Jake Kolodjashnij | HBFL | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | INT | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Jack Henry | BPR | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 49 |