AFL · ROUND 13 · MCG
Collingwood v Melbourne
Mon 8 Jun 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 4
COL to win, 56% chance
COL 56%44% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 8
MISS Actual margin 8 · 12.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | CHF | 30.9 / inside our 50% range: 35.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 117 |
| Scott Pendlebury | RR | 26.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 24.6 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Jack Crisp | WL | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 91 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Dan Houston | HBFL | 21.9 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Jordan De Goey | R | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Patrick Lipinski | INT | 19.2 / outside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPL | 18.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 77 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Harry Perryman | INT | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFR | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Roan Steele | WR | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Angus Anderson | C | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Beau McCreery | FPR | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Edward Allan | INT | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFR | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Billy Frampton | BPR | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Harvey Harrison | HFFL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Mitch Podhajski | FPL | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Tim Membrey | FF | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Jack Buller | INT | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Daniel McStay | INT | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Steele | RR | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Jake Bowey | BPL | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | HFFL | 21.8 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Tom Sparrow | WL | 21.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Ed Langdon | CHF | 21.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Trent Rivers | HBFR | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Caleb Windsor | R | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Kade Chandler | INT | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Blake Howes | HBFL | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Harvey Langford | C | 15.9 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 104 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | INT | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Jake Lever | BPR | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Tom McDonald | INT | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Harry Sharp | WR | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Daniel Turner | FB | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Bayley Fritsch | FPR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Latrelle Pickett | HFFR | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Harrison Petty | CHB | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | FF | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Luker Kentfield | INT | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Paddy Cross | INT | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Brody Mihocek | FPL | 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 3 |