AFL · ROUND 13 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Brisbane Lions
Sat 6 Jun 2026, 5:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GCS by 3
GCS to win, 55% chance
GCS 55%45% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 31
MISS Actual margin 31 · 34.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 28.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Christian Petracca | C | 24.8 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| John Noble | WR | 24.1 / outside our 90% range: 36.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 146 |
| Touk Miller | HFFR | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Bodhi Uwland | HBFL | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Mac Andrew | BPR | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 16.4 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Wil Powell | CHB | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Will Graham | CHF | 13.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFL | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPL | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jai Murray | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Jarrod Witts | INT | 12.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Oscar Adams | BPL | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Ben Long | FPR | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Ben King | FF | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jed Walter | INT | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 29.2 / inside our 90% range: 37.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 26.3 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Bruce Reville | HBFR | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Noah Answerth | INT | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Darcy Gardiner | BPR | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Darragh Joyce | BPL | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 10.4 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Shadeau Brain | INT | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 9.6 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / outside our 90% range: 128 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 49 |