AFL · ROUND 13 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Port Adelaide
Sat 6 Jun 2026, 6:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PA by 14
PA to win, 70% chance
WCE 30%70% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 6
HIT Actual margin 6 · 7.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 93 | 78 to 108 | 55 to 132 | 84% | 71% | 55% | 38% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 90 | 75 to 105 | 52 to 128 | 81% | 67% | 50% | 34% | 20% | outside our 90% range: 130 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 85 | 70 to 100 | 48 to 123 | 75% | 59% | 42% | 26% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 83 | 68 to 98 | 46 to 120 | 72% | 56% | 38% | 23% | 12% | inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 82 | 67 to 96 | 45 to 118 | 70% | 53% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 80 | 66 to 95 | 44 to 117 | 68% | 51% | 34% | 19% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 77 | 62 to 91 | 40 to 113 | 62% | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 76 | 61 to 90 | 40 to 112 | 60% | 42% | 26% | 13% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 119 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 74 | 59 to 88 | 38 to 109 | 56% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 73 | 59 to 88 | 38 to 109 | 56% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Milan Murdock | HFFR | 73 | 59 to 87 | 37 to 108 | 55% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 66 | 53 to 80 | 32 to 101 | 43% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 62 | 49 to 76 | 28 to 96 | 35% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 61 | 47 to 74 | 27 to 94 | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 60 | 47 to 74 | 27 to 94 | 32% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 58 | 45 to 71 | 25 to 91 | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 57 | 44 to 70 | 24 to 90 | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 53 | 40 to 66 | 21 to 85 | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 53 | 40 to 66 | 21 to 85 | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | 52 | 39 to 65 | 20 to 84 | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 52 | 39 to 64 | 20 to 84 | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 51 | 38 to 64 | 19 to 83 | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 47 | 34 to 59 | 16 to 78 | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 53 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 105 | 89 to 121 | 65 to 145 | 92% | 85% | 73% | 58% | 42% | inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 89 | 74 to 104 | 51 to 127 | 79% | 65% | 48% | 31% | 18% | inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 85 | 70 to 100 | 48 to 122 | 74% | 59% | 41% | 26% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Willem Drew | R | 84 | 69 to 99 | 46 to 121 | 73% | 56% | 39% | 24% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 82 | 68 to 97 | 46 to 120 | 71% | 54% | 37% | 22% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 76 | 62 to 91 | 40 to 112 | 61% | 43% | 26% | 14% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 69 | 55 to 83 | 34 to 104 | 48% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 68 | 54 to 82 | 34 to 103 | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 67 | 53 to 81 | 32 to 102 | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Logan Evans | BPL | 67 | 53 to 81 | 33 to 102 | 45% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 66 | 52 to 80 | 31 to 100 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Todd Marshall | BPR | 66 | 52 to 79 | 31 to 100 | 42% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 62 | 49 to 76 | 29 to 96 | 36% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Jacob Wehr | INT | 60 | 47 to 74 | 27 to 94 | 32% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jackson Mead | INT | 58 | 45 to 72 | 25 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Tom Cochrane | INT | 57 | 44 to 70 | 24 to 90 | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 54 | 41 to 67 | 22 to 87 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 54 | 41 to 67 | 22 to 86 | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | 53 | 40 to 66 | 21 to 85 | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 53 | 40 to 66 | 21 to 85 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 51 | 38 to 64 | 19 to 82 | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 49 | 36 to 62 | 18 to 80 | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 84 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 48 | 35 to 60 | 17 to 79 | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 10 |