AFL · ROUND 13 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Port Adelaide
Sat 6 Jun 2026, 6:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PA by 14
PA to win, 70% chance
WCE 30%70% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 6
HIT Actual margin 6 · 7.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 2.3 | 1.6 to 3.1 | 0.2 to 4.5 | 81% | 59% | 33% | 14% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.1 | 0.5 to 1.6 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 52% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 0.9 | 0.4 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 44% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 0.7 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.9 | 36% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 23% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Milan Murdock | HFFR | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 25% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 2.3 | 1.5 to 3.0 | 0.1 to 4.4 | 80% | 57% | 31% | 12% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 1.1 | 0.5 to 1.6 | 0.0 to 2.6 | 53% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 1.1 | 0.6 to 1.7 | 0.0 to 2.7 | 54% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 0.8 | 0.4 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 43% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 0.7 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 34% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Todd Marshall | BPR | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cochrane | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jackson Mead | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jacob Wehr | INT | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Logan Evans | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Willem Drew | R | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zak Butters | RR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |