AFL · ROUND 14 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v Gold Coast SUNS
Fri 12 Jun 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GEE by 25
GEE to win, 83% chance
GEE 83%17% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 45
HIT Actual margin 45 · 19.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 30.7 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Max Holmes | RR | 28.5 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 114 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Tanner Bruhn | WL | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Tom Atkins | R | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Oliver Dempsey | HFFL | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Shaun Mannagh | FPL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | INT | 16.9 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Zach Guthrie | CHB | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | BPL | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Sam De Koning | INT | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Oisin Mullin | BPR | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Mark O'Connor | HBFR | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jeremy Cameron | CHF | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Mark Blicavs | WR | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jake Kolodjashnij | HBFL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | HFFR | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jack Henry | FB | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| George Stevens | INT | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 28.3 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 133 |
| John Noble | CHB | 27.0 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 113 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 26.0 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Christian Petracca | C | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Touk Miller | CHF | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Bodhi Uwland | HBFL | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Mac Andrew | BPR | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Sam Clohesy | FPL | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Leonardo Lombard | INT | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFL | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 21 |
| Zeke Uwland | WL | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Oscar Adams | BPL | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Jai Murray | INT | 10.2 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 79 |
| Ben Long | HFFR | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Charlie Ballard | INT | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Ben Jepson | WR | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Ben King | FF | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Jed Walter | FPR | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 40 |