AFL · ROUND 14 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v Sydney Swans
Sat 13 Jun 2026, 7:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SYD by 15
SYD to win, 72% chance
PA 28%72% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 3
HIT Actual margin 3 · 11.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 29.8 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 21.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Kane Farrell | BPL | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 20.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Willem Drew | R | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Logan Evans | INT | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Jackson Mead | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Joe Berry | INT | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Todd Marshall | INT | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Harrison Ramm | BPR | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFR | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Tom Cochrane | HFFL | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 26.5 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 26.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 23.3 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Chad Warner | C | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Riley Bice | INT | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFR | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jake Lloyd | HFFL | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| James Jordon | INT | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Harry Cunningham | HBFL | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| James Rowbottom | R | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Caiden Cleary | CHF | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Logan McDonald | FPR | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| William Edwards | BPR | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Harry Kyle | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Malcolm Rosas | HFFR | 9.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Joel Hamling | FB | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Hayden McLean | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 40 |