AFL · ROUND 14 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows
Thu 11 Jun 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
ADE by 8
ADE to win, 63% chance
WB 37%63% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 57
HIT Actual margin 57 · 48.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 May 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 27.0 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 26.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Ed Richards | R | 25.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 128 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Adam Treloar | HFFR | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Joel Freijah | INT | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Tim English | RK | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Nick Coffield | BPL | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Cooper Hynes | WR | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Rhylee West | FPL | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPR | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Arthur Jones | WL | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Cody Weightman | FPR | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Rory Lobb | INT | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Jordan Croft | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Will Lewis | CHF | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 11 |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 25.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 23.7 / outside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 133 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 102 / outside our 90% range: 156 |
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Sam Berry | R | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| James Peatling | RR | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Jake Soligo | INT | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | CHF | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Daniel Curtin | WL | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Ben Keays | INT | 14.7 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | INT | 13.2 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | FF | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Zac Taylor | FPR | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FPL | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Nick Murray | CHB | 10.9 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| James Borlase | FB | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Luke Pedlar | HFFL | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 54 |