AFL · ROUND 15 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Melbourne
Sat 20 Jun 2026, 12:45pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
ADE by 11
ADE to win, 66% chance
ADE 66%34% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 17
HIT Actual margin 17 · 6.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 26.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 26.1 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 25.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Sam Berry | R | 23.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| James Peatling | RR | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Jake Soligo | INT | 19.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 21 |
| Mark Keane | BPL | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 113 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPR | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | INT | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 104 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Ben Keays | INT | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Daniel Curtin | WL | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 103 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Nick Murray | CHB | 13.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| James Borlase | FB | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FPL | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bowey | BPL | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Jack Steele | RR | 23.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | HFFL | 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Tom Sparrow | C | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Ed Langdon | R | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Trent Rivers | CHB | 19.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | HBFR | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Harvey Langford | WL | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Caleb Windsor | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Kade Chandler | CHF | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Blake Howes | HBFL | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Harry Sharp | HFFR | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Joel Fitzgerald | INT | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Daniel Turner | FB | 14.0 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Jake Lever | BPR | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Bayley Fritsch | FPR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Tom McDonald | INT | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Paddy Cross | WR | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | FF | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Jake Melksham | FPL | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 10 |
| Luker Kentfield | INT | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Matthew Jefferson | INT | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 38 |