AFL · ROUND 15 · MCG
Richmond v North Melbourne
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 1:10pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
NM by 24
NM to win, 82% chance
RIC 18%82% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 25
HIT Actual margin 25 · 0.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Taranto | C | 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Dion Prestia | RR | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jayden Short | CHB | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Sam Banks | HBFR | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Tyler Sonsie | HFFL | 16.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Tom Brown | BPR | 16.6 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| James Trezise | WR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Seth Campbell | CHF | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 14.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Sam Cumming | R | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Noah Balta | FPL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Taj Hotton | INT | 12.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Kye Annand | INT | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Maurice Rioli | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Jasper Alger | FPR | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FF | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Liam Fawcett | INT | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 31.3 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 112 / inside our 50% range: 116 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | C | 27.0 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Luke Parker | BPR | 25.3 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 117 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 24.2 / outside our 90% range: 40.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 153 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | HFFL | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFR | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| George Wardlaw | RR | 19.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Tom Blamires | HBFL | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Luke McDonald | BPL | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Aidan Corr | INT | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Cooper Harvey | INT | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Charlie Comben | FB | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Charlie Spargo | HFFR | 11.9 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Jack Darling | FPR | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jacob Konstanty | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 101 |
| Zane Duursma | INT | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Taylor Goad | INT | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 32 |