AFL · ROUND 15 · MARVEL STADIUM
St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
STK by 3
STK to win, 55% chance
STK 55%45% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 22
MISS Actual margin 22 · 25.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | R | 30.1 / outside our 90% range: 44.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 112 / inside our 90% range: 136 |
| Jack Sinclair | HBFL | 28.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 103 / outside our 90% range: 2 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 24.1 / outside our 90% range: 36.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 134 |
| Jack Macrae | C | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Max Hall | HFFR | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Bradley Hill | WR | 21.6 / outside our 90% range: 37.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Marcus Windhager | CHB | 21.5 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.7 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Rowan Marshall | FPL | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Ryan Byrnes | HBFR | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Mason Wood | INT | 14.0 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / outside our 90% range: 108 |
| Mitch Owens | FPR | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Campbell Lake | INT | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Angus Hastie | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Dan Butler | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFL | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 27.0 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 127 |
| Ed Richards | R | 26.1 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Ryley Sanders | INT | 24.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Tom Liberatore | RR | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Matthew Kennedy | INT | 24.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Joel Freijah | WL | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Lachlan Bramble | WR | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Tim English | RK | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Nick Coffield | BPL | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Cooper Hynes | HFFL | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPR | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Lachlan McNeil | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Rory Lobb | INT | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Jordan Croft | CHF | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Will Lewis | FPL | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 70 |