AFL · ROUND 16 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans
Thu 25 Jun 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SYD by 3
SYD to win, 55% chance
BRI 45%55% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 43
MISS Actual margin 43 · 46.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 29.7 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 26.6 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 134 |
| Darcy Wilmot | INT | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 130 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | HFFR | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Levi Ashcroft | INT | 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Ryan Lester | HBFL | 15.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Bruce Reville | HBFR | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Darcy Gardiner | BPR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Conor McKenna | FPL | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Kai Lohmann | INT | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Sam Draper | RK | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Eric Hipwood | FPR | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Darcy Fort | INT | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 26.6 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Errol Gulden | C | 25.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 25.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Chad Warner | R | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 128 |
| Riley Bice | WL | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 20.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Tom McCartin | BPR | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Jake Lloyd | CHF | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Harry Cunningham | HBFL | 14.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 21 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 13.8 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Caiden Cleary | FPL | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Peter Ladhams | INT | 12.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| William Edwards | FB | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Malcolm Rosas | INT | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Joel Amartey | FPR | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Joel Hamling | INT | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 35 / inside our 90% range: 52 |