AFL · ROUND 16 · MARVEL STADIUM
Carlton v West Coast Eagles
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
CAR by 28
CAR to win, 85% chance
CAR 85%15% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 53
HIT Actual margin 53 · 24.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | C | 29.2 / inside our 50% range: 33.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Patrick Cripps | RR | 27.8 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| George Hewett | INT | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Jagga Smith | R | 24.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Nic Newman | INT | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Oliver Florent | BPL | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Blake Acres | WR | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Adam Cerra | WL | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Billy Wilson | HBFR | 19.3 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Ben Ainsworth | HFFR | 17.7 / outside our 90% range: 28.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 112 |
| Nick Haynes | BPR | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Lachlan Cowan | HBFL | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Will Hayward | INT | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Harry McKay | FF | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Matthew Cottrell | HFFL | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Wade Derksen | FB | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Francis Evans | INT | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Harry Dean | CHB | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Brodie Kemp | FPL | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Mitch McGovern | CHF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jack Ison | INT | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Talor Byrne | FPR | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 85 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 24.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 23.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jack Graham | INT | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Ryan Maric | HFFR | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Elijah Hewett | R | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFL | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Tom Cole | HFFL | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jack Hutchinson | INT | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 31 |