AFL · ROUND 16 · MCG
Collingwood v Richmond
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 44
COL to win, 94% chance
COL 94%6% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 34
HIT Actual margin 34 · 10.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 33.1 / inside our 50% range: 37.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 113 / inside our 90% range: 143 |
| Josh Daicos | HBFR | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Scott Pendlebury | INT | 25.7 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jordan De Goey | CHF | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Patrick Lipinski | RR | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 21.8 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Dan Houston | CHB | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 120 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFL | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WL | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Harry Perryman | BPL | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Ned Long | C | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Edward Allan | INT | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Roan Steele | WR | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFR | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFL | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Sam Swadling | INT | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Billy Frampton | BPR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Tim Membrey | FF | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Harvey Harrison | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Daniel McStay | FPL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jack Buller | FPR | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Short | CHB | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Tim Taranto | C | 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Jack Ross | R | 24.0 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Dion Prestia | RR | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Sam Banks | HBFR | 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Tom Brown | BPR | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| James Trezise | WR | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Seth Campbell | CHF | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 15.4 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 99 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Sam Cumming | INT | 14.7 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Noah Balta | FPL | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Rhyan Mansell | INT | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Kye Annand | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Taj Hotton | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Maurice Rioli | HFFL | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Jasper Alger | FF | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 19 |