AFL · ROUND 16 · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v Gold Coast SUNS
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 3:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
FRE by 29
FRE to win, 86% chance
FRE 86%14% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 51
HIT Actual margin 51 · 22.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 26.6 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 131 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Murphy Reid | HFFL | 23.4 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 23.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 21.3 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Hayden Young | INT | 18.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Neil Erasmus | WR | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | WL | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Matthew Johnson | INT | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Josh Treacy | FPR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Michael Frederick | CHF | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Jye Amiss | FF | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Sean Darcy | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 28.9 / inside our 50% range: 33.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| John Noble | WL | 26.6 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 24.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Christian Petracca | HFFR | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Touk Miller | CHF | 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Joel Jeffrey | HBFL | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Wil Powell | HBFR | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Jai Murray | WR | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Beau Addinsall | C | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Leonardo Lombard | INT | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFL | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Zeke Uwland | CHB | 11.8 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 86 |
| Ben Jepson | INT | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Ben Long | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Jarrod Witts | INT | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Charlie Ballard | INT | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 14 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Nick Holman | INT | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jed Walter | FPR | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Ben King | FPL | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 33 |