AFL · ROUND 16 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v Adelaide Crows
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 7:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
ADE by 22
ADE to win, 80% chance
PA 20%80% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 26
MISS Actual margin 26 · 48.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 28.6 / inside our 90% range: 37.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 102 / outside our 90% range: 142 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 23.3 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 108 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 22.3 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 21.5 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Willem Drew | R | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Logan Evans | BPL | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Jacob Wehr | INT | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Jackson Mead | INT | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Jack Lukosius | WL | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Josh Lai | BPR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Brandon Zerk-Thatcher | FB | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 8 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Laird | INT | 24.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 24.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 108 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 23.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Josh Worrell | CHB | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 41 |
| James Peatling | INT | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | HBFR | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 17.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 24 |
| Mark Keane | BPL | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Jake Soligo | R | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPR | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Daniel Curtin | WL | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Ben Keays | INT | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Isaac Cumming | HBFL | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Zac Taylor | FPL | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| James Borlase | FB | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Darcy Fogarty | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 77 |