AFL · ROUND 17 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v Fremantle
Sat 4 Jul 2026, 1:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
FRE by 13
FRE to win, 69% chance
GWS 31%69% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 21
MISS Actual margin 21 · 34.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 29.9 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 29.2 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFL | 28.9 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Lachie Whitfield | CHB | 28.3 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Connor Idun | BPL | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Toby Greene | CHF | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 79 / outside our 90% range: 123 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Harry Himmelberg | BPR | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFL | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Toby Bedford | RR | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Conor Stone | INT | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Harrison Oliver | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 99 |
| Riley Hamilton | HFFR | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Aaron Cadman | FPL | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Jack Ough | INT | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 25.8 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 23.4 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 23.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Murphy Reid | HFFL | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 18.7 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Neil Erasmus | WR | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | WL | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Hayden Young | INT | 17.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Matthew Johnson | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Josh Treacy | FPR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Michael Frederick | CHF | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Jye Amiss | FF | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Sean Darcy | INT | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 31 |