AFL · ROUND 17 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Collingwood
Sat 4 Jul 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 5
COL to win, 58% chance
GCS 42%58% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 6
HIT Actual margin 6 · 0.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | C | 31.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 111 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 26.9 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 130 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Christian Petracca | FPL | 24.2 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Touk Miller | RR | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Wil Powell | HBFR | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FF | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Zeke Uwland | CHB | 15.5 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 146 |
| Jai Murray | WL | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Beau Addinsall | WR | 14.0 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFR | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Nick Holman | INT | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Ben Jepson | INT | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Ben Long | FPR | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Dylan Patterson | INT | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Ethan Read | INT | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Jed Walter | CHF | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Ben King | HFFL | 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | FF | 30.9 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 25.5 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Jordan De Goey | R | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Dan Houston | HBFR | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WR | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPL | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Harry Perryman | HBFL | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Edward Allan | RR | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WL | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Ned Long | INT | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Angus Anderson | C | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Billy Frampton | BPR | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Liam Puncher | INT | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Sam Swadling | INT | 10.6 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 10.0 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 100 |
| Harvey Harrison | CHF | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Daniel McStay | INT | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Jack Buller | FPL | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 27 |