AFL · ROUND 17 · SCG
Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs
Fri 3 Jul 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SYD by 30
SYD to win, 87% chance
SYD 87%13% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 35
HIT Actual margin 35 · 4.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 27.5 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 25.5 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Errol Gulden | C | 24.7 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Chad Warner | R | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 130 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Tom McCartin | BPR | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Jake Lloyd | WL | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Matt Roberts | HBFL | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Dane Rampe | INT | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Harry Cunningham | HBFR | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Caiden Cleary | FPL | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| William Edwards | FB | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Tom Hanily | CHF | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 107 |
| Harry Kyle | INT | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Hayden McLean | FPR | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Joel Hamling | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 28 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 27.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 27.3 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 95 / outside our 90% range: 138 |
| Ed Richards | R | 25.0 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Ryley Sanders | WL | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Matthew Kennedy | INT | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Tom Liberatore | INT | 23.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Joel Freijah | RR | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 18.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Lachlan Bramble | WR | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Tim English | RK | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Nick Coffield | BPL | 15.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Cooper Hynes | HFFL | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Lachlan McNeil | INT | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Michael Sellwood | INT | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Buku Khamis | BPR | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| James O'Donnell | FB | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Cody Weightman | FPR | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Rory Lobb | CHB | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Jordan Croft | CHF | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Will Lewis | FPL | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 29 |