AFL · ROUND 18 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 11 Jul 2026, 7:40pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
ADE by 25
ADE to win, 83% chance
ADE 83%17% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 79
HIT Actual margin 79 · 53.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dawson | C | 26.9 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 26.6 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Rory Laird | INT | 24.8 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 24.7 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.2 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 92 / outside our 90% range: 138 |
| Josh Worrell | CHB | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| James Peatling | INT | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Mark Keane | BPL | 20.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 25 |
| Jake Soligo | WL | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Brayden Cook | HBFL | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPR | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Daniel Curtin | R | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Ben Keays | WR | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Zac Taylor | FPL | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| James Borlase | FB | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FF | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Taylor Walker | INT | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / outside our 90% range: 98 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 29.7 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 27.4 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.5 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Christian Petracca | FPL | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Touk Miller | CHF | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Zeke Uwland | CHB | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Beau Addinsall | C | 19.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Wil Powell | HBFR | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jai Murray | WL | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Leonardo Lombard | HFFL | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFR | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Nick Holman | WR | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Will Graham | INT | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Oscar Adams | INT | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Dylan Patterson | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Ethan Read | INT | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Jed Walter | FF | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Ben King | FPR | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 26 |