AFL · ROUND 18 · MARVEL STADIUM
Collingwood v North Melbourne
Fri 10 Jul 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 22
COL to win, 79% chance
COL 79%21% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 4
HIT Actual margin 4 · 17.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 32.2 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 113 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 26.0 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 98 / outside our 90% range: 144 |
| Scott Pendlebury | C | 25.8 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Dan Houston | HBFR | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Jack Crisp | WR | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Jordan De Goey | HFFL | 21.5 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Patrick Lipinski | INT | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPL | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Ned Long | RR | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WL | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Edward Allan | INT | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Harry Perryman | HBFL | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 17.2 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 121 |
| Lachie Schultz | FPL | 14.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Sam Swadling | CHF | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Billy Frampton | INT | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Angus Anderson | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Liam Puncher | BPR | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Daniel McStay | FF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jack Buller | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 8 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 31.9 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 121 / inside our 50% range: 124 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 29.1 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 110 / outside our 90% range: 58 |
| Luke Parker | BPR | 27.8 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | C | 27.3 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 108 / outside our 90% range: 63 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFR | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | RR | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 21.0 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 121 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Cooper Harvey | INT | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Tom Blamires | INT | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 98 / outside our 90% range: 146 |
| Luke McDonald | INT | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Riley Hardeman | HBFL | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Aidan Corr | BPL | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 14.6 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Charlie Comben | FB | 14.4 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Charlie Spargo | INT | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Jack Darling | FPR | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Zac Banch | HFFR | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Matt Whitlock | INT | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 30 |