AFL · ROUND 18 · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v Sydney Swans
Thu 9 Jul 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
FRE by 2
FRE to win, 53% chance
FRE 53%47% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 38
HIT Actual margin 38 · 36.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 26.3 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Murphy Reid | HFFL | 23.4 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 22.1 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 21.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | INT | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Neil Erasmus | WL | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Jaeger O'Meara | WR | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Matthew Johnson | INT | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / outside our 90% range: 22 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Josh Treacy | FPR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Michael Frederick | CHF | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Jye Amiss | FF | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Errol Gulden | C | 24.8 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Chad Warner | R | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 22.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 19.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Tom McCartin | BPR | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Jake Lloyd | CHF | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFL | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Harry Cunningham | HBFR | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Caiden Cleary | INT | 12.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Tom Hanily | INT | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| William Edwards | FB | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Harry Kyle | INT | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Hayden McLean | FPR | 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Joel Hamling | INT | 8.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 37 / outside our 90% range: -3 |