AFL · ROUND 18 · MARVEL STADIUM
St Kilda v Port Adelaide
Sat 11 Jul 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
STK by 7
STK to win, 60% chance
STK 60%40% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 14
HIT Actual margin 14 · 7.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | R | 31.9 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 121 / inside our 50% range: 119 |
| Bradley Hill | HBFL | 27.4 / outside our 90% range: 39.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 134 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 26.9 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Marcus Windhager | C | 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Max Hall | HFFR | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 24.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 8.3 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 98 / outside our 90% range: 140 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 117 |
| Mason Wood | FPL | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Rowan Marshall | RK | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 134 |
| Ryan Byrnes | HBFR | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Mitch Owens | FPR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Angus Hastie | CHB | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Tobie Travaglia | INT | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Liam O'Connell | WR | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Liam Henry | INT | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Campbell Lake | INT | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFL | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 29.4 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Kane Farrell | BPL | 22.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Logan Evans | INT | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Willem Drew | R | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Miles Bergman | FB | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 15.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jackson Mead | INT | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Jack Lukosius | WL | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Josh Lai | BPR | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 13.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 6 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFL | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 9.3 / - | 0.5 / - | 2.3 / - | 2.0 / - | 42 / - |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 56 |