AFL · ROUND 19 · MARVEL STADIUM
Essendon v GWS GIANTS
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 4:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GWS by 37
GWS to win, 91% chance
ESS 9%91% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ESS by 3
MISS Actual margin 3 · 39.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archie Roberts | HBFR | 29.2 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Zach Merrett | RR | 27.6 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Sam Durham | C | 25.1 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Mason Redman | CHB | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Andrew McGrath | BPL | 21.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Sullivan Robey | R | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Jacob Farrow | INT | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Jye Caldwell | INT | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Jordan Ridley | BPR | 19.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Kyle Langford | HBFL | 19.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 38 |
| Jaxon Prior | INT | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Xavier Duursma | HFFR | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Dyson Sharp | HFFL | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Angus Clarke | WL | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Zach Reid | FB | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Peter Wright | FF | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Jaxon Artemis | WR | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Max Kondogiannis | INT | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Nate Caddy | CHF | 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Nick Bryan | RK | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Archer Day-Wicks | FPR | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Isaac Kako | FPL | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Hussien El Achkar | INT | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 30.1 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 110 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 30.0 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Lachie Ash | CHB | 29.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Lachie Whitfield | WR | 27.7 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 24.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 104 / outside our 90% range: 34 |
| Connor Idun | BPL | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFL | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Toby Bedford | FPL | 18.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | INT | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPR | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jack Ough | INT | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Conor Stone | INT | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Aaron Cadman | CHF | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Riley Hamilton | HFFR | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 56 |