AFL · ROUND 19 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v St Kilda
Thu 16 Jul 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 18
GEE to win, 76% chance
GEE 76%24% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 27
HIT Actual margin 27 · 8.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holmes | RR | 30.4 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 108 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Bailey Smith | C | 29.6 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 107 / inside our 50% range: 118 |
| Lawson Humphries | HBFR | 22.7 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 22.1 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Tom Stewart | BPL | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| James Worpel | INT | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Tom Atkins | INT | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 18.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Sam De Koning | BPR | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Mark O'Connor | CHB | 15.0 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Jhye Clark | INT | 13.3 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 98 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | WR | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jack Henry | INT | 10.5 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | FPR | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | R | 30.5 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Bradley Hill | HBFL | 26.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 25.6 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Marcus Windhager | C | 23.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 23.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 96 / outside our 90% range: 56 |
| Max Hall | HFFR | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 112 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Rowan Marshall | RK | 18.4 / outside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 95 / outside our 90% range: 139 |
| Mason Wood | FPL | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Hunter Clark | INT | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Ryan Byrnes | HBFR | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Mitch Owens | FPR | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Liam O'Connell | WR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Liam Stocker | CHB | 12.5 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Tobie Travaglia | INT | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Campbell Lake | INT | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 86 |
| Liam Henry | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFL | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 9.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 7 |