AFL · ROUND 19 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Western Bulldogs
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 2
WB to win, 54% chance
GCS 46%54% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 6.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | C | 110 | 94 to 127 | 69 to 151 | 95% | 88% | 78% | 64% | 52% | inside our 90% range: 85 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 102 | 86 to 119 | 62 to 143 | 91% | 82% | 67% | 56% | 39% | inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Matt Rowell | RR | 98 | 82 to 114 | 58 to 138 | 90% | 80% | 66% | 48% | 32% | inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Bodhi Uwland | FB | 93 | 78 to 109 | 54 to 133 | 86% | 74% | 58% | 40% | 26% | inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Christian Petracca | R | 90 | 74 to 106 | 51 to 129 | 85% | 71% | 53% | 35% | 20% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Touk Miller | WR | 90 | 74 to 106 | 51 to 129 | 85% | 71% | 52% | 35% | 20% | inside our 90% range: 124 |
| Zeke Uwland | CHB | 88 | 72 to 104 | 49 to 127 | 84% | 67% | 48% | 31% | 18% | inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 84 | 68 to 99 | 45 to 122 | 78% | 61% | 39% | 23% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 82 | 67 to 98 | 44 to 120 | 76% | 57% | 37% | 21% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Daniel Rioli | INT | 82 | 66 to 97 | 44 to 120 | 72% | 56% | 37% | 23% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Wil Powell | HBFR | 82 | 66 to 97 | 44 to 120 | 72% | 56% | 37% | 23% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 80 | 65 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 52% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Leonardo Lombard | HFFL | 72 | 57 to 87 | 35 to 109 | 53% | 37% | 21% | 12% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Sam Collins | BPR | 67 | 53 to 82 | 31 to 104 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Ben Long | FPL | 66 | 51 to 80 | 29 to 102 | 42% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Jai Murray | WL | 65 | 50 to 79 | 29 to 101 | 36% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Beau Addinsall | CHF | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 101 | 36% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFR | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 101 | 36% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Ben King | FPR | 57 | 43 to 71 | 22 to 92 | 26% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Jed Walter | FF | 55 | 41 to 70 | 20 to 90 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 8 |
| Oscar Adams | INT | 48 | 34 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Dylan Patterson | INT | 47 | 33 to 60 | 13 to 81 | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Caleb Lewis | INT | 46 | 32 to 59 | 12 to 79 | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 32 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Richards | R | 99 | 83 to 115 | 59 to 139 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 49% | 32% | inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 96 | 80 to 112 | 57 to 136 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 45% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Tom Liberatore | RR | 88 | 73 to 104 | 50 to 127 | 84% | 68% | 50% | 32% | 18% | - |
| Tim English | RK | 86 | 71 to 102 | 48 to 125 | 80% | 66% | 44% | 29% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Ryley Sanders | WL | 85 | 70 to 101 | 47 to 124 | 79% | 64% | 41% | 26% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Matthew Kennedy | INT | 77 | 62 to 92 | 40 to 115 | 62% | 44% | 29% | 16% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Lachlan Bramble | HBFL | 75 | 60 to 90 | 38 to 112 | 56% | 41% | 27% | 13% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 34 |
| Bailey Williams | INT | 68 | 54 to 83 | 32 to 105 | 46% | 29% | 17% | 8% | 4% | outside our 90% range: 111 |
| Rhylee West | FPL | 68 | 53 to 83 | 31 to 104 | 47% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Rory Lobb | CHB | 67 | 52 to 82 | 31 to 104 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Nick Coffield | HBFR | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 103 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 3% | outside our 90% range: 30 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 100 | 36% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Cooper Hynes | WR | 63 | 49 to 78 | 27 to 99 | 35% | 21% | 11% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 60 | 46 to 74 | 24 to 96 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Riley Garcia | INT | 60 | 45 to 74 | 24 to 95 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | - |
| Sam Davidson | HFFL | 59 | 45 to 73 | 23 to 94 | 25% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Jedd Busslinger | INT | 59 | 44 to 73 | 23 to 94 | 25% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Cody Weightman | FPR | 58 | 44 to 72 | 22 to 93 | 28% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 57 | 42 to 71 | 21 to 92 | 25% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Buku Khamis | BPR | 56 | 42 to 70 | 21 to 91 | 25% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| James O'Donnell | FB | 54 | 40 to 68 | 19 to 89 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jordan Croft | CHF | 51 | 37 to 65 | 16 to 85 | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 10 |
| Josh Dolan | INT | 48 | 34 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |