HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 19NM v MEL
AFL · ROUND 19 · MARVEL STADIUM

North Melbourne v Melbourne

Sat 18 Jul 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

MEL by 19

MEL to win, 77% chance

NM 23%77% MEL
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

MEL by 16

HIT Actual margin 16 · 3.0 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 18 Jun 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Harry Sheezel R 29.9 / inside our 50% range: 33.00.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.05.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.05.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0118 / inside our 50% range: 126
Luke Parker BPR 27.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.8 / outside our 90% range: 1.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0104 / outside our 90% range: 63
Luke Davies-Uniacke C 26.0 / inside our 50% range: 28.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0100 / inside our 50% range: 88
Caleb Daniel CHB 25.5 / inside our 50% range: 27.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.098 / inside our 50% range: 90
Jy Simpkin WL 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.088 / inside our 50% range: 94
Colby McKercher HBFR 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.086 / inside our 50% range: 85
Finn O'Sullivan RR 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 23.00.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.03.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.084 / inside our 50% range: 85
Dylan Stephens WR 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.082 / inside our 50% range: 70
Cooper Harvey INT 17.7 / outside our 90% range: 28.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.069 / inside our 90% range: 91
Tristan Xerri RK 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.05.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0100 / inside our 90% range: 77
Luke McDonald INT 16.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.070 / outside our 90% range: 28
Cameron Zurhaar FPL 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.05.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.078 / inside our 50% range: 66
Josh Goater INT 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.061 / inside our 50% range: 47
Aidan Corr BPL 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.065 / inside our 50% range: 53
Riley Hardeman HBFL 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.066 / inside our 90% range: 50
Bailey Scott INT 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.01.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.060 / inside our 90% range: 82
Charlie Spargo HFFR 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.03.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.065 / inside our 50% range: 57
Charlie Comben FB 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.01.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.061 / inside our 90% range: 43
Paul Curtis HFFL 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.03.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.069 / inside our 50% range: 78
Cooper Trembath CHF 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.069 / inside our 50% range: 61
Jack Darling FPR 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.064 / inside our 50% range: 59
Nick Larkey FF 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.05.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.067 / inside our 50% range: 59
Matt Whitlock INT 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.044 / inside our 50% range: 42

Melbourne

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Jake Bowey BPL 25.7 / inside our 50% range: 29.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.098 / inside our 50% range: 102
Jack Steele RR 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.06.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.091 / inside our 50% range: 85
Tom Sparrow C 23.5 / inside our 90% range: 33.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.05.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.093 / inside our 90% range: 130
Kysaiah Pickett HFFL 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 29.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.03.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.092 / inside our 90% range: 109
Ed Langdon WL 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.05.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.085 / inside our 50% range: 74
Trent Rivers HBFL 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 26.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.086 / inside our 50% range: 101
Max Gawn RK 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 23.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0104 / inside our 50% range: 100
Joel Fitzgerald INT 19.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.067 / inside our 90% range: 42
Caleb Windsor R 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.066 / inside our 90% range: 39
Blake Howes HBFR 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.069 / inside our 50% range: 60
Harvey Langford INT 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 21.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.066 / inside our 50% range: 64
Daniel Turner CHB 16.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.073 / outside our 90% range: 21
Koltyn Tholstrup INT 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 22.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.064 / inside our 90% range: 84
Changkuoth Jiath BPR 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.069 / inside our 90% range: 42
Kade Chandler CHF 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.03.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.072 / inside our 50% range: 63
Jake Lever FB 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.067 / inside our 50% range: 56
Harry Sharp WR 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.061 / inside our 90% range: 46
Jacob van Rooyen FF 13.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.05.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.074 / inside our 50% range: 62
Bayley Fritsch FPR 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.064 / inside our 50% range: 69
Latrelle Pickett HFFR 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.051 / inside our 90% range: 30
Jake Melksham FPL 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.01.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.056 / inside our 90% range: 31
Max Heath INT 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.046 / inside our 50% range: 41
Matthew Jefferson INT 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.01.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.03.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.042 / inside our 90% range: 70