AFL · ROUND 19 · MCG
Richmond v Hawthorn
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 1:10pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
HAW by 33
HAW to win, 89% chance
RIC 11%89% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 70
HIT Actual margin 70 · 37.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Taranto | C | 27.8 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Jayden Short | HBFL | 26.8 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Sam Banks | WR | 23.4 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / outside our 90% range: 37 |
| Kane McAuliffe | INT | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Dion Prestia | CHF | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Nick Vlastuin | FB | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| James Trezise | HBFR | 19.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Tom Brown | CHB | 19.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Sam Cumming | R | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Sam Lalor | FF | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Taj Hotton | RR | 17.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 31 |
| Hugo Ralphsmith | INT | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Noah Balta | INT | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Steely Green | INT | 14.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 13 |
| Kye Annand | BPR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Rhyan Mansell | HFFR | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Tom Lynch | FPL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 29.2 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Josh Ward | C | 26.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Connor Macdonald | INT | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Jarman Impey | HBFL | 23.8 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 93 / outside our 90% range: 137 |
| Cam Mackenzie | R | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Josh Battle | HBFR | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| James Sicily | BPL | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Blake Hardwick | BPR | 22.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | INT | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Jack Ginnivan | INT | 21.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 38 |
| Harry Morrison | WR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Dylan Moore | HFFL | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Josh Weddle | HFFR | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Lloyd Meek | RK | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Bailey Macdonald | INT | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Mitch Lewis | FF | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Nick Watson | FPL | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Jack Gunston | FPR | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 45 |
| Oliver Greeves | INT | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Mabior Chol | CHF | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Noah Mraz | CHB | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| William McCabe | WL | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 60 |