AFL · ROUND 19 · SCG
Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows
Fri 17 Jul 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
SYD by 17
SYD to win, 74% chance
SYD 74%26% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 16
MISS Actual margin 16 · 33.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Mills | BPL | 27.1 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 26.9 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Errol Gulden | C | 26.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 25.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Chad Warner | R | 23.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Riley Bice | INT | 21.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Tom McCartin | BPR | 19.8 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 18.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Jake Lloyd | CHF | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFL | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Harry Cunningham | HBFR | 13.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 13.5 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / outside our 90% range: 103 |
| William Edwards | FB | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 32 |
| Braeden Campbell | INT | 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Malcolm Rosas | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Hayden McLean | FPR | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 25.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 128 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 25.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Josh Worrell | CHB | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| James Peatling | INT | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | WL | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Mark Keane | BPL | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jake Soligo | FPL | 16.4 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Brayden Cook | HBFL | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPR | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Ben Keays | INT | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Daniel Curtin | R | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Isaac Cumming | WR | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| James Borlase | FB | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FF | 10.6 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 42 |