AFL · ROUND 19 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions
Sat 18 Jul 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 38
BRI to win, 91% chance
WCE 9%91% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 24
HIT Actual margin 24 · 13.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 23.6 | 19.7 to 27.5 | 13.7 to 33.5 | 94% | 76% | 42% | 15% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 23.0 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 23.2 | 19.4 to 27.0 | 13.4 to 33.0 | 93% | 73% | 40% | 13% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 17.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 23.2 | 19.4 to 27.1 | 13.4 to 33.1 | 93% | 73% | 40% | 13% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 23.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 19.6 | 16.0 to 23.2 | 10.4 to 28.7 | 83% | 50% | 15% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 18.8 | 15.3 to 22.3 | 9.8 to 27.8 | 75% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 18.4 | 14.9 to 21.8 | 9.5 to 27.3 | 74% | 34% | 10% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 18.1 | 14.7 to 21.6 | 9.3 to 26.9 | 72% | 30% | 9% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFL | 17.6 | 14.2 to 21.0 | 8.9 to 26.4 | 71% | 33% | 10% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 16.4 | 13.1 to 19.7 | 7.9 to 24.9 | 63% | 25% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 14.5 | 11.3 to 17.6 | 6.4 to 22.5 | 47% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 14.2 | 11.1 to 17.3 | 6.2 to 22.2 | 42% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 14.2 | 11.1 to 17.4 | 6.2 to 22.2 | 42% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Oliver Francou | R | 14.1 | 11.0 to 17.2 | 6.1 to 22.1 | 42% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 13.9 | 10.8 to 16.9 | 5.9 to 21.8 | 39% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 13.4 | 10.4 to 16.5 | 5.6 to 21.3 | 37% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 13.1 | 10.1 to 16.1 | 5.4 to 20.9 | 34% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 12.8 | 9.8 to 15.8 | 5.1 to 20.5 | 30% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 12.4 | 9.4 to 15.3 | 4.8 to 19.9 | 26% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 11.9 | 9.0 to 14.8 | 4.4 to 19.4 | 24% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 11.6 | 8.7 to 14.5 | 4.2 to 19.0 | 20% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Jack Hutchinson | FPR | 10.9 | 8.1 to 13.7 | 3.7 to 18.1 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 9.8 | 7.1 to 12.4 | 2.9 to 16.7 | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 9.0 | 6.4 to 11.7 | 2.3 to 15.7 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 28.0 | 23.8 to 32.1 | 17.4 to 38.6 | 96% | 89% | 70% | 37% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 32.0 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 26.6 | 22.6 to 30.7 | 16.2 to 37.0 | 95% | 86% | 62% | 26% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 32.0 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 24.2 | 20.3 to 28.1 | 14.2 to 34.2 | 97% | 83% | 53% | 20% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 23.3 | 19.4 to 27.1 | 13.4 to 33.1 | 93% | 73% | 40% | 13% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 20.0 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 21.7 | 18.0 to 25.5 | 12.2 to 31.3 | 90% | 64% | 31% | 7% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 26.0 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 20.5 | 16.9 to 24.2 | 11.2 to 29.9 | 86% | 57% | 22% | 5% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 28.0 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 19.8 | 16.2 to 23.3 | 10.6 to 28.9 | 84% | 52% | 16% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 19.4 | 15.8 to 22.9 | 10.3 to 28.5 | 82% | 49% | 15% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 19.4 | 15.8 to 22.9 | 10.3 to 28.4 | 82% | 49% | 15% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 18.2 | 14.8 to 21.7 | 9.4 to 27.1 | 73% | 33% | 10% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 21.0 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 17.5 | 14.1 to 20.9 | 8.8 to 26.2 | 69% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 14.8 | 11.6 to 18.0 | 6.7 to 23.0 | 50% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 18.0 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 13.7 | 10.7 to 16.8 | 5.8 to 21.6 | 38% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 22.0 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 13.2 | 10.1 to 16.2 | 5.4 to 20.9 | 34% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 12.8 | 9.8 to 15.8 | 5.1 to 20.5 | 30% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 11.7 | 8.8 to 14.6 | 4.3 to 19.1 | 20% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 11.6 | 8.8 to 14.5 | 4.2 to 19.0 | 20% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 20.0 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 11.4 | 8.6 to 14.3 | 4.1 to 18.8 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 11.3 | 8.4 to 14.1 | 4.0 to 18.6 | 20% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 11.1 | 8.2 to 13.9 | 3.8 to 18.3 | 20% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 10.7 | 7.9 to 13.5 | 3.5 to 17.8 | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.2 | 7.5 to 13.0 | 3.2 to 17.3 | 9% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Eric Hipwood | INT | 9.3 | 6.6 to 11.9 | 2.5 to 16.0 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |