AFL · ROUND 19 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions
Sat 18 Jul 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 38
BRI to win, 91% chance
WCE 9%91% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 24
HIT Actual margin 24 · 13.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 88 | 73 to 104 | 50 to 127 | 84% | 68% | 49% | 32% | 18% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 86 | 71 to 102 | 48 to 125 | 80% | 66% | 44% | 28% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 83 | 68 to 98 | 45 to 121 | 78% | 59% | 39% | 23% | 12% | inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 82 | 67 to 97 | 44 to 120 | 75% | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 80 | 65 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 53% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 79 | 64 to 94 | 41 to 117 | 70% | 51% | 34% | 20% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 78 | 63 to 93 | 40 to 116 | 67% | 48% | 32% | 18% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 78 | 62 to 93 | 40 to 115 | 62% | 45% | 29% | 16% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 74 | 59 to 89 | 37 to 111 | 55% | 39% | 25% | 12% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 73 | 58 to 88 | 36 to 110 | 55% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFL | 70 | 56 to 85 | 33 to 107 | 50% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 67 | 53 to 82 | 31 to 104 | 46% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 66 | 51 to 80 | 30 to 102 | 43% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 63 | 48 to 77 | 27 to 99 | 33% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Oliver Francou | R | 62 | 47 to 76 | 26 to 98 | 31% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 60 | 45 to 74 | 24 to 95 | 26% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 59 | 45 to 74 | 24 to 95 | 25% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 58 | 43 to 72 | 22 to 93 | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 57 | 43 to 71 | 22 to 92 | 26% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Jack Hutchinson | FPR | 56 | 42 to 71 | 21 to 92 | 25% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 7 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 55 | 41 to 69 | 20 to 90 | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 54 | 40 to 68 | 19 to 89 | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 52 | 38 to 66 | 18 to 87 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 105 | 89 to 121 | 64 to 145 | 92% | 85% | 71% | 58% | 42% | inside our 50% range: 108 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 102 | 86 to 118 | 62 to 142 | 90% | 81% | 67% | 55% | 37% | inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 96 | 80 to 112 | 57 to 136 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 45% | 30% | inside our 90% range: 130 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 96 | 80 to 112 | 57 to 136 | 88% | 77% | 62% | 45% | 30% | outside our 90% range: 54 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 93 | 78 to 109 | 54 to 133 | 86% | 74% | 58% | 40% | 26% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 93 | 77 to 109 | 54 to 132 | 86% | 73% | 58% | 39% | 26% | inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 80 | 65 to 96 | 42 to 118 | 71% | 53% | 36% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 80 | 65 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 52% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 77 | 62 to 92 | 40 to 115 | 62% | 44% | 29% | 16% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 77 | 62 to 92 | 39 to 114 | 61% | 44% | 29% | 15% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 76 | 61 to 91 | 38 to 113 | 57% | 43% | 28% | 14% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 38 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 71 | 56 to 86 | 34 to 108 | 51% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 69 | 54 to 84 | 32 to 106 | 48% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 68 | 54 to 83 | 32 to 105 | 46% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 68 | 54 to 83 | 32 to 105 | 45% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 103 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 102 | 43% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 63 | 49 to 78 | 27 to 99 | 35% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 119 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 63 | 48 to 77 | 27 to 98 | 33% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 60 | 46 to 74 | 24 to 95 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 58 | 44 to 72 | 23 to 94 | 28% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Eric Hipwood | INT | 53 | 39 to 67 | 18 to 88 | 20% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 52 | 38 to 65 | 17 to 86 | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 81 |