AFL · ROUND 19 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions
Sat 18 Jul 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 38
BRI to win, 91% chance
WCE 9%91% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 24
HIT Actual margin 24 · 13.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 2.5 | 1.6 to 3.3 | 0.3 to 4.6 | 81% | 59% | 35% | 17% | 11% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.6 | 0.8 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 63% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 0.9 | 0.3 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 49% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 0.8 | 0.3 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 1.9 | 29% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 0.7 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 35% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jack Hutchinson | FPR | 0.6 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 27% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 27% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 23% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 0.5 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 15% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Oliver Francou | R | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 22% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 16% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 26% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 13% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 26% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Morris | CHF | 3.0 | 2.0 to 4.0 | 0.7 to 5.4 | 85% | 65% | 50% | 32% | 16% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 2.0 | 1.2 to 2.9 | 0.1 to 4.0 | 73% | 50% | 29% | 14% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 2.0 | 1.2 to 2.8 | 0.1 to 3.9 | 72% | 49% | 28% | 14% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 1.5 | 0.8 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 54% | 26% | 10% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 1.2 | 0.6 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 2.7 | 54% | 27% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 1.2 | 0.5 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.6 | 45% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Eric Hipwood | INT | 1.1 | 0.5 to 1.7 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 53% | 22% | 5% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 1.0 | 0.4 to 1.6 | 0.0 to 2.4 | 48% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 0.9 | 0.4 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 34% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 0.9 | 0.3 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 53% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 0.7 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 34% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 0.5 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 17% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 26% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 27% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 30% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 24% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |