AFL · ROUND 19 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions
Sat 18 Jul 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 38
BRI to win, 91% chance
WCE 9%91% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 24
HIT Actual margin 24 · 13.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 6.1 | 4.1 to 8.1 | 1.7 to 10.5 | 77% | 63% | 49% | 35% | 23% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 6.1 | 4.1 to 8.1 | 1.7 to 10.5 | 77% | 63% | 49% | 34% | 23% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 6.0 | 4.0 to 7.9 | 1.6 to 10.4 | 73% | 59% | 46% | 30% | 21% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.7 | 1.5 to 10.1 | 75% | 62% | 48% | 36% | 24% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.1 | 0.7 to 8.2 | 60% | 44% | 31% | 20% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 4.3 | 2.6 to 5.9 | 0.6 to 8.0 | 45% | 31% | 20% | 10% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.5 to 7.9 | 48% | 32% | 22% | 13% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.9 | 0.5 to 7.9 | 52% | 35% | 23% | 14% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.3 to 7.2 | 50% | 30% | 16% | 11% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.3 | 0.3 to 7.2 | 38% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 3.5 | 2.0 to 5.0 | 0.2 to 6.9 | 37% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 3.5 | 2.0 to 5.0 | 0.2 to 6.9 | 42% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFL | 3.4 | 1.9 to 4.9 | 0.1 to 6.7 | 45% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.8 | 0.1 to 6.6 | 40% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jack Hutchinson | FPR | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.4 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 31% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.9 | 21% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Oliver Francou | R | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Andrews | FB | 6.7 | 4.6 to 8.7 | 2.1 to 11.3 | 83% | 72% | 57% | 44% | 30% | outside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 6.4 | 4.4 to 8.4 | 1.9 to 10.9 | 80% | 69% | 54% | 40% | 28% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 6.1 | 4.1 to 8.1 | 1.7 to 10.5 | 76% | 63% | 49% | 34% | 22% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.7 | 1.5 to 10.1 | 75% | 61% | 47% | 35% | 23% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.8 | 1.0 to 9.1 | 69% | 50% | 35% | 24% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 4.9 | 3.2 to 6.7 | 1.0 to 8.9 | 59% | 43% | 30% | 17% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 4.6 | 2.9 to 6.3 | 0.8 to 8.5 | 57% | 41% | 25% | 16% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 4.5 | 2.8 to 6.2 | 0.7 to 8.3 | 47% | 28% | 18% | 11% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 4.5 | 2.8 to 6.2 | 0.7 to 8.3 | 50% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 4.4 | 2.7 to 6.1 | 0.7 to 8.2 | 57% | 42% | 29% | 18% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 4.4 | 2.7 to 6.1 | 0.6 to 8.1 | 55% | 41% | 28% | 17% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 4.3 | 2.7 to 6.0 | 0.6 to 8.0 | 47% | 34% | 23% | 13% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.9 | 0.5 to 7.9 | 52% | 35% | 23% | 14% | 8% | outside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 3.9 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.3 to 7.4 | 51% | 35% | 24% | 13% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 3.9 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.3 to 7.4 | 51% | 35% | 24% | 13% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Eric Hipwood | INT | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.3 to 7.3 | 46% | 32% | 20% | 12% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.3 | 0.3 to 7.2 | 50% | 31% | 17% | 11% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.3 | 0.3 to 7.2 | 38% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 3.4 | 1.9 to 4.9 | 0.1 to 6.7 | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.0 to 6.4 | 32% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 18% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 21% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 2.5 | 1.2 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |