Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs

Fri 20 Mar 2026, 7:10pm ACDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

WB by 1

WB to win, 51% chance

ADE 49%51% WB

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WB by 6

HIT Actual margin 6 · 5.0 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Adelaide Crows

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Jordan Dawson	C	98	-	-	90%	80%	64%	46%	28%	119
Rory Laird	HBFR	96	-	-	89%	77%	61%	42%	25%	77
Josh Worrell	CHB	88	-	-	80%	65%	46%	29%	15%	94
James Peatling	INT	81	-	-	70%	52%	34%	19%	9%	49
Jake Soligo	INT	79	-	-	67%	49%	31%	16%	7%	49
Izak Rankine	HFFL	78	-	-	64%	46%	28%	14%	6%	66
Wayne Milera	BPL	78	-	-	65%	46%	29%	15%	7%	74
Riley Thilthorpe	CHF	77	-	-	63%	44%	27%	14%	6%	77
Sam Berry	RR	72	-	-	53%	34%	19%	9%	4%	108
Ben Keays	R	70	-	-	50%	32%	17%	8%	3%	54
Alex Neal-Bullen	FPL	68	-	-	46%	28%	15%	6%	2%	52
Callum Ah Chee	INT	67	-	-	44%	27%	14%	6%	2%	33
Taylor Walker	FF	65	-	-	40%	23%	12%	5%	2%	72
Darcy Fogarty	FPR	63	-	-	37%	21%	10%	4%	1%	71
Isaac Cumming	WR	63	-	-	37%	21%	10%	4%	1%	70
Josh Rachele	HFFR	61	-	-	33%	18%	8%	3%	1%	70
Max Michalanney	INT	58	-	-	29%	15%	7%	2%	1%	57
Lachlan McAndrew	RK	53	-	-	21%	10%	4%	1%	0%	80
Brayden Cook	WL	51	-	-	19%	9%	3%	1%	0%	48
Luke Pedlar	INT	51	-	-	18%	8%	3%	1%	0%	30
Hugh Bond	BPR	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	-
Nick Murray	HBFL	44	-	-	11%	4%	2%	0%	0%	84
Jordon Butts	FB	42	-	-	9%	4%	1%	0%	0%	84

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Marcus Bontempelli	C	105	-	-	95%	88%	77%	60%	42%	108
Tim English	RK	105	-	-	95%	88%	76%	60%	41%	84
Ed Richards	R	97	-	-	90%	80%	64%	45%	28%	94
Tom Liberatore	FPR	94	-	-	88%	75%	58%	40%	23%	108
Matthew Kennedy	RR	92	-	-	84%	71%	53%	34%	19%	93
Bailey Dale	HBFR	91	-	-	84%	70%	52%	33%	18%	59
Bailey Williams	WR	76	-	-	62%	43%	26%	13%	6%	124
Sam Darcy	CHF	69	-	-	48%	30%	16%	7%	3%	60
Aaron Naughton	FF	65	-	-	41%	25%	12%	5%	2%	65
Connor Budarick	HBFL	65	-	-	40%	24%	12%	5%	2%	68
Michael Sellwood	INT	65	-	-	40%	24%	12%	5%	2%	64
Joel Freijah	HFFR	64	-	-	39%	22%	11%	4%	2%	106
Lachlan Bramble	INT	64	-	-	40%	23%	11%	5%	2%	43
Rhylee West	HFFL	63	-	-	38%	22%	10%	4%	1%	33
Oskar Baker	INT	62	-	-	35%	19%	9%	4%	1%	51
Ryley Sanders	INT	58	-	-	29%	16%	7%	2%	1%	68
Sam Davidson	WL	58	-	-	29%	15%	7%	2%	1%	33
Lachie Jaques	BPL	54	-	-	23%	11%	4%	2%	0%	74
Rory Lobb	BPR	52	-	-	20%	10%	4%	1%	0%	40
Cooper Hynes	INT	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	29
James O'Donnell	CHB	45	-	-	12%	5%	2%	0%	0%	33
Buku Khamis	FB	44	-	-	11%	4%	2%	0%	0%	54
Jordan Croft	FPL	44	-	-	11%	5%	2%	0%	0%	17